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4Q16 CIO Commentary

4Q16 CIO Commentary

In this quarter's CIO commentary, we take a look at the winners and losers coming out of the Trump victory, make a deep dive into the risk-reward tradeoffs offered you US equities at the moment, and name the one US foreign relationship to watch most closely in the Trump era.

Oil & Antibiotics

Oil & Antibiotics

Oil is now some $30 cheaper per barrel than when we bailed out in November, but we still have no appetite to be long the commodity. Although we feel that current prices have undershot levels justified by long-term supply and demand, we believe the Saudis have strong short-term strategic motivations that will continue to pressure oil prices over the coming year, maybe longer.